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  <Control>
    <Title>地方３か月予報</Title>
    <DateTime>2008-10-24T04:55:00Z</DateTime>
    <Status>通常</Status>
    <EditorialOffice>札幌管区気象台</EditorialOffice>
    <PublishingOffice>札幌管区気象台</PublishingOffice>
  </Control>
  <Head xmlns="http://xml.kishou.go.jp/jmaxml1/informationBasis1/">
    <Title>北海道地方３か月予報</Title>
    <ReportDateTime>2008-10-24T14:00:00+09:00</ReportDateTime>
    <TargetDateTime>2008-11-01T00:00:00+09:00</TargetDateTime>
    <TargetDuration>P3M</TargetDuration>
    <EventID/>
    <InfoType>発表</InfoType>
    <Serial/>
    <InfoKind>季節予報</InfoKind>
    <InfoKindVersion>1.0_0</InfoKindVersion>
    <Headline>
      <Text/>
    </Headline>
  </Head>
  <Body xmlns="http://xml.kishou.go.jp/jmaxml1/body/meteorology1/"
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    <TargetArea codeType="全国・地方予報区等">
      <Name>北海道地方</Name>
      <Code>010100</Code>
    </TargetArea>
    <Notice>お知らせ　これは検討中の案です。</Notice>
    <MeteorologicalInfos type="季節予報">
      <MeteorologicalInfo>
        <DateTime significant="yyyy-mm-dd">2008-11-01T00:00:00+09:00</DateTime>
        <Duration>P3M</Duration>
        <Name>向こう３か月</Name>
        <Item>
          <Kind>
            <Property>
              <Type>出現の可能性が最も大きい天候と、特徴のある気温、降水量等の確率</Type>
              <ClimateFeaturePart>
                <jmx_eb:SignificantClimateElement kind="降雪量">
                  <jmx_eb:Text>日本海側の降雪量は、平年並の確率と少ない確率がともに４０％です。</jmx_eb:Text>
                </jmx_eb:SignificantClimateElement>
              </ClimateFeaturePart>
            </Property>
          </Kind>
          <Areas codeType="全国・地方予報区等">
            <Area><Name>北海道地方</Name><Code>010100</Code></Area>
          </Areas>
        </Item>
        <Item>
          <Kind>
            <Property>
              <Type>地域・期間平均平年偏差各階級の確率</Type>
              <ClimateProbabilityValuesPart>
                <jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues kind="気温">
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal unit="%"                   >30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal>
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal      unit="%"                   >30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal>
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal unit="%"                   >40</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal>
                </jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues>
              </ClimateProbabilityValuesPart>
            </Property>
          </Kind>
          <Areas codeType="全国・地方予報区等">
            <Area><Name>北海道地方</Name><Code>010100</Code></Area>
          </Areas>
        </Item>
        <Item>
          <Kind>
            <Property>
              <Type>地域・期間平均平年偏差各階級の確率</Type>
              <ClimateProbabilityValuesPart>
                <jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues kind="降水量">
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal unit="%"                   >30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal>
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal      unit="%"                   >40</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal>
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal unit="%"                   >30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal>
                </jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues>
                <jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues kind="降雪量">
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal unit="%" significant="true">40</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal>
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal      unit="%" significant="true">40</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal>
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal unit="%"                   >20</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal>
                </jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues>
              </ClimateProbabilityValuesPart>
            </Property>
          </Kind>
          <Areas codeType="全国・地方予報区等">
            <Area><Name>北海道日本海側</Name>      <Code>010101</Code></Area>
          </Areas>
        </Item>
        <Item>
          <Kind>
            <Property>
              <Type>地域・期間平均平年偏差各階級の確率</Type>
              <ClimateProbabilityValuesPart>
                <jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues kind="降水量">
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal unit="%"                   >30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal>
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal      unit="%"                   >40</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal>
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal unit="%"                   >30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal>
                </jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues>
              </ClimateProbabilityValuesPart>
            </Property>
          </Kind>
          <Areas codeType="全国・地方予報区等">
            <Area><Name>北海道オホーツク海側</Name><Code>010102</Code></Area>
          </Areas>
        </Item>
        <Item>
          <Kind>
            <Property>
              <Type>地域・期間平均平年偏差各階級の確率</Type>
              <ClimateProbabilityValuesPart>
                <jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues kind="降水量">
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal unit="%"                   >30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal>
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal      unit="%"                   >30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal>
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal unit="%"                   >40</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal>
                </jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues>
              </ClimateProbabilityValuesPart>
            </Property>
          </Kind>
          <Areas codeType="全国・地方予報区等">
            <Area><Name>北海道太平洋側</Name>      <Code>010103</Code></Area>
          </Areas>
        </Item>
      </MeteorologicalInfo>
      <TimeSeriesInfo>
        <TimeDefines>
          <TimeDefine timeId="1">
            <DateTime>2008-11-01T00:00:00+09:00</DateTime>
            <Duration>P1M</Duration>
            <Name>１１月</Name>
          </TimeDefine>
          <TimeDefine timeId="2">
            <DateTime>2008-12-01T00:00:00+09:00</DateTime>
            <Duration>P1M</Duration>
            <Name>１２月</Name>
          </TimeDefine>
          <TimeDefine timeId="3">
            <DateTime>2009-01-01T00:00:00+09:00</DateTime>
            <Duration>P1M</Duration>
            <Name>１月</Name>
          </TimeDefine>
        </TimeDefines>
        <Item>
          <Kind>
            <Property>
              <Type>出現の可能性が最も大きい天候と、特徴のある気温、降水量等の確率</Type>
              <ClimateFeaturePart>
                <jmx_eb:GeneralSituationText refID="1">平年と同様に、日本海側では曇りや雪または雨の日が多く、太平洋側では晴れる日が多い見込みです。</jmx_eb:GeneralSituationText>
                <jmx_eb:GeneralSituationText refID="2">平年と同様に、日本海側では曇りや雪の日が多く、太平洋側では晴れる日が多いでしょう。</jmx_eb:GeneralSituationText>
                <jmx_eb:GeneralSituationText refID="3">日本海側では平年より曇りや雪の日が少ないでしょう。太平洋側では低気圧の影響を受けやすく、平年より晴れる日が少ない見込みです。</jmx_eb:GeneralSituationText>
                <jmx_eb:SignificantClimateElement kind="気温">
                  <jmx_eb:Text refID="3">気温は、平年並の確率と高い確率がともに４０％です。</jmx_eb:Text>
                </jmx_eb:SignificantClimateElement>
                <jmx_eb:SignificantClimateElement kind="降水量">
                  <jmx_eb:Text refID="3">降水量は、太平洋側で平年並の確率と多い確率がともに４０％です。</jmx_eb:Text>
                </jmx_eb:SignificantClimateElement>
              </ClimateFeaturePart>
            </Property>
          </Kind>
          <Areas codeType="全国・地方予報区等">
            <Area><Name>北海道地方</Name><Code>010100</Code></Area>
          </Areas>
        </Item>
        <Item>
          <Kind>
            <Property>
              <Type>地域・期間平均平年偏差各階級の確率</Type>
              <ClimateProbabilityValuesPart>
                <jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues refID="1" kind="気温">
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal unit="%"                   >30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal>
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal      unit="%"                   >30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal>
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal unit="%"                   >40</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal>
                </jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues>
                <jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues refID="2" kind="気温">
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal unit="%"                   >30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal>
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal      unit="%"                   >40</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal>
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal unit="%"                   >30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal>
                </jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues>
                <jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues refID="3" kind="気温">
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal unit="%"                   >20</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal>
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal      unit="%" significant="true">40</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal>
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal unit="%" significant="true">40</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal>
                </jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues>
              </ClimateProbabilityValuesPart>
            </Property>
          </Kind>
          <Areas codeType="全国・地方予報区等">
            <Area><Name>北海道地方</Name><Code>010100</Code></Area>
          </Areas>
        </Item>
        <Item>
          <Kind>
            <Property>
              <Type>地域・期間平均平年偏差各階級の確率</Type>
              <ClimateProbabilityValuesPart>
                <jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues refID="1" kind="降水量">
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal unit="%"                   >30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal>
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal      unit="%"                   >40</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal>
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal unit="%"                   >30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal>
                </jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues>
                <jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues refID="2" kind="降水量">
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal unit="%"                   >30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal>
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal      unit="%"                   >40</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal>
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal unit="%"                   >30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal>
                </jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues>
                <jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues refID="3" kind="降水量">
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal unit="%"                   >30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal>
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal      unit="%"                   >40</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal>
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal unit="%"                   >30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal>
                </jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues>
              </ClimateProbabilityValuesPart>
            </Property>
          </Kind>
          <Areas codeType="全国・地方予報区等">
            <Area><Name>北海道日本海側</Name>      <Code>010101</Code></Area>
          </Areas>
        </Item>
        <Item>
          <Kind>
            <Property>
              <Type>地域・期間平均平年偏差各階級の確率</Type>
              <ClimateProbabilityValuesPart>
                <jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues refID="1" kind="降水量">
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal unit="%"                   >30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal>
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal      unit="%"                   >40</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal>
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal unit="%"                   >30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal>
                </jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues>
                <jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues refID="2" kind="降水量">
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal unit="%"                   >30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal>
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal      unit="%"                   >40</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal>
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal unit="%"                   >30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal>
                </jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues>
                <jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues refID="3" kind="降水量">
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal unit="%"                   >30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal>
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal      unit="%"                   >40</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal>
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal unit="%"                   >30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal>
                </jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues>
              </ClimateProbabilityValuesPart>
            </Property>
          </Kind>
          <Areas codeType="全国・地方予報区等">
            <Area><Name>北海道オホーツク海側</Name><Code>010102</Code></Area>
          </Areas>
        </Item>
        <Item>
          <Kind>
            <Property>
              <Type>地域・期間平均平年偏差各階級の確率</Type>
              <ClimateProbabilityValuesPart>
                <jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues refID="1" kind="降水量">
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal unit="%"                   >30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal>
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal      unit="%"                   >40</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal>
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal unit="%"                   >30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal>
                </jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues>
                <jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues refID="2" kind="降水量">
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal unit="%"                   >30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal>
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal      unit="%"                   >40</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal>
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal unit="%"                   >30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal>
                </jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues>
                <jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues refID="3" kind="降水量">
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal unit="%"                   >20</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal>
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal      unit="%" significant="true">40</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal>
                  <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal unit="%" significant="true">40</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal>
                </jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues>
              </ClimateProbabilityValuesPart>
            </Property>
          </Kind>
          <Areas codeType="全国・地方予報区等">
            <Area><Name>北海道太平洋側</Name>      <Code>010103</Code></Area>
          </Areas>
        </Item>
      </TimeSeriesInfo>
    </MeteorologicalInfos>
    <AdditionalInfo>
      <ClimateForecastAddition>
        <NextForecastSchedule target="１か月予報">
          <Text>毎週木曜日　１４時３０分　次回は１０月３０日</Text>
          <DateTime>2008-10-30T14:30:00+09:00</DateTime>
        </NextForecastSchedule>
        <NextForecastSchedule target="３か月予報">
          <Text>１１月２５日（火）　１４時</Text>
          <DateTime>2008-11-25T14:00:00+09:00</DateTime>
        </NextForecastSchedule>
        <NoticeOfSchedule>１１月の予報については、新しい資料による次回以降の１か月予報を適宜ご利用ください。
なお、最近の天候経過と新しい予測資料をふまえ寒候期の天候について検討しましたが、９月２５日に発表した寒候期予報の内容に変更はありません。</NoticeOfSchedule>
      </ClimateForecastAddition>
    </AdditionalInfo>
  </Body>
</Report>
